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2010-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 50.0% 50.0% -0.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +2 (94-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 38 11-22 1-1 9-9 8 1 4 2 4 32 21 -
Arron Afflalo * 36 7-13 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 15 3 -
Chauncey Billups * 35 5-10 2-5 2-2 4 4 1 0 5 14 8 -
Al Harrington * 31 4-13 1-4 1-2 7 2 0 0 1 10 5 -
Nene Hilario * 27 3-4 0-0 2-4 7 3 1 3 1 8 17 -
Ty Lawson * 20 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 1 2 -
Melvin Ely * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
JR Smith * 17 3-7 2-3 2-5 4 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
Shelden Williams * 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 2 4 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 42 6-18 1-5 4-7 7 3 1 2 2 17 10 -
Joakim Noah * 39 4-11 0-0 5-8 19 1 0 4 0 13 26 -
Derrick Rose * 39 7-21 1-2 3-5 2 6 1 1 3 18 4 -
Taj Gibson * 33 7-12 0-0 2-4 6 3 1 5 5 16 14 -
Keith Bogans * 28 4-7 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 10 8 -
Kyle Korver * 18 1-5 1-2 3-3 1 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
Ronnie Brewer * 17 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 7 11 -
Omer Asik * 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
C.J. Watson * 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter