Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (102-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 43 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 12-21 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| David Lee * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Carney | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Jack * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 38 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| David Andersen * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 14 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter