Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -4 (91-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 33 | 9-17 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| George Hill * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Anderson * | 14 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 14 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Alonzo Gee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Augustin * | 36 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 27 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Sherron Collins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter