Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +5 (102-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 44 | 11-23 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 39 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| David Lee * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Rodney Carney | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Bell | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 37 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 26 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter