Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -4 (114-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 20 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 43 | 15-27 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 19 | - |
| Al Horford * | 42 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 31 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter