Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (92-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 9-17 | 4-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 5-15 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| JR Smith * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Jones * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter