Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 39 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 34 | 4-16 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 32 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 22 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 17 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 41 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 39 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 39 | 11-24 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| George Hill * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 15 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter