Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Morrow * | 34 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 22 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Damion James | 8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Johan Petro | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Quinton Ross | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 10-17 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| James Jones * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter