Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +3 (96-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 41 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 13-13 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| James Jones * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 18 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 36 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 34 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| David West * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Willie Green * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| DJ Mbenga * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter