Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -10 (103-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 31 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford * | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 35 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 35 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 26 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 25 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter