Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (110-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 34 | 9-13 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 29 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| James Anderson * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Gee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 35 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 32 | 8-22 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Garret Siler | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Earl Clark | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter