Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -1 (101-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 15-31 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 18 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 42 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 41 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| JR Smith * | 16 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter