Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (26.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +32 (129-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Ellington * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 17 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 10 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Lazar Hayward | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 24 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| James Jones * | 22 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Eddie House * | 17 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter