Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -12 (88-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 6-21 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 35 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Varejao * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 32 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 24 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jawad Williams * | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Leon Powe * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter