Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -23 (78-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| LeBron James * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 10-12 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 8-12 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House * | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Williams * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Damion James * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Johan Petro | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter