Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -13 (94-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 10-11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 29 | 10-24 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| JR Smith * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 37 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 36 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Lowry | 20 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter