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2010-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% -
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% -
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +20 (109-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wayne Ellington * 29 5-13 3-4 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 15 7 -
Luke Ridnour * 25 3-10 1-3 0-1 4 3 1 0 3 7 2 -
Wesley Johnson * 24 2-10 0-2 2-3 7 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
Kevin Love * 24 6-14 0-2 2-2 13 1 0 1 4 14 11 -
Sebastian Telfair * 22 3-9 2-4 4-4 3 2 1 0 4 12 5 -
Anthony Tolliver * 21 1-4 0-2 4-5 8 1 0 0 0 6 11 -
Michael Beasley * 20 2-6 0-0 2-6 5 1 0 1 6 6 1 -
Corey Brewer * 20 3-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 6 2 -
Darko Milicic * 19 2-6 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 1 5 6 0 -
Nikola Pekovic * 13 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 3 7 5 -
Kosta Koufos * 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Lazar Hayward 11 0-2 0-1 2-4 4 2 1 0 0 2 7 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 43 11-22 2-4 1-1 6 5 4 0 2 25 16 -
O.J. Mayo * 39 11-21 5-9 2-2 7 5 3 1 4 29 20 -
Mike Conley * 38 5-15 1-5 3-4 7 11 7 0 3 14 21 -
Marc Gasol * 31 3-6 0-0 5-7 8 2 3 1 3 11 16 -
Darrell Arthur * 30 7-13 0-0 4-4 6 1 2 0 1 18 13 -
Tony Allen * 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 1 3 10 8 -
Sam Young * 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Acie Law * 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Hamed Haddadi 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Greivis Vasquez 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
DeMarre Carroll 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter