Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | -2.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 40 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 39 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 33 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 18 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 17 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Theo Ratliff | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 32 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 29 | 6-18 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 18 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter