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2010-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (90-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 43 9-19 0-3 3-4 8 3 3 1 1 21 16 -
Mike Conley * 37 3-11 0-1 2-4 5 6 4 0 4 8 8 -
O.J. Mayo * 36 6-17 4-9 4-4 4 2 3 1 1 20 12 -
Marc Gasol * 33 2-5 0-0 6-8 15 4 1 0 1 10 24 -
Darrell Arthur * 26 6-10 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 14 11 -
Tony Allen * 13 4-5 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 3 10 4 -
Xavier Henry * 12 1-7 0-1 4-6 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Acie Law * 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Sam Young * 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Hamed Haddadi 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 37 11-15 1-1 4-6 7 2 0 0 2 27 19 -
Jason Terry * 36 6-13 1-5 0-1 3 5 0 0 1 13 7 -
Caron Butler * 34 8-17 0-0 2-3 6 1 2 1 2 18 9 -
Jason Kidd * 34 3-9 2-7 1-2 6 10 2 0 5 9 13 -
Tyson Chandler * 28 0-1 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 3 2 3 12 -
Shawn Marion * 24 4-11 1-1 3-4 7 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
Brendan Haywood * 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 2 0 4 -
J.J. Barea * 15 2-5 1-4 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 7 7 -
Dominique Jones 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 3 -

* = starter