Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (96-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Redick * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 28 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 24 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 24 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 13 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| LeBron James * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| James Jones * | 26 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Eddie House * | 24 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter