Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -16 (94-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 28 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 21 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 40 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kyrylo Fesenko * | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter