Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (132-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Hayes * | 39 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 37 | 14-24 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 30 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 35 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 17-17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brad Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lee * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 39 | 18-24 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 28 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter