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2010-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +22 (110-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Jefferson * 30 2-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 3 1 6 9 -
Raja Bell * 29 3-8 1-4 5-6 2 2 1 0 1 12 8 -
Paul Millsap * 27 5-9 0-0 5-7 8 2 1 0 1 15 16 -
Deron Williams * 27 3-10 2-3 9-10 3 6 0 0 4 17 12 -
Gordon Hayward * 20 4-11 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 9 1 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 19 0-4 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 4 2 1 -
Earl Watson * 19 2-5 0-0 2-4 2 2 2 0 4 6 3 -
Francisco Elson * 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 6 8 -
Ronnie Price * 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
CJ Miles * 13 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Jeremy Evans * 11 4-5 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
Kyrylo Fesenko * 11 1-1 0-0 0-4 0 3 0 0 1 2 3 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 36 7-16 0-0 9-10 7 3 1 0 4 23 14 -
Arron Afflalo * 34 8-11 3-5 3-3 2 3 2 0 0 22 18 -
Chauncey Billups * 28 2-7 0-3 10-11 2 8 3 0 2 14 18 -
Shelden Williams * 27 3-11 0-0 2-2 16 0 0 0 4 8 9 -
Ty Lawson * 24 3-6 0-1 4-4 0 4 2 0 1 10 9 -
Al Harrington * 23 4-11 2-7 0-1 7 2 0 1 3 10 6 -
Nene Hilario * 23 5-8 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 1 1 13 10 -
JR Smith * 22 1-7 1-4 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
Melvin Ely 10 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
Gary Forbes 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
Renaldo Balkman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter