Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (122-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 37 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 24 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| James Posey * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Paul George * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 17 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 38 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 32 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 31 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| George Hill * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| James Anderson * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gary Neal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter