Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +15 (101-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 43 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 40 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 27 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dominique Jones * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter