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2010-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (95-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Jennings * 41 5-14 2-6 3-4 2 10 1 0 1 15 13 -
Carlos Delfino * 38 7-12 5-10 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 19 15 -
Andrew Bogut * 36 6-12 0-1 3-10 15 1 0 1 1 15 19 -
John Salmons * 32 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 5 -5 -
Drew Gooden * 32 7-14 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 1 15 12 -
Corey Maggette * 19 4-8 0-1 8-8 7 0 0 0 3 16 12 -
Keyon Dooling * 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Ersan Ilyasova 15 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Larry Sanders 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
Earl Boykins 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 41 4-13 1-6 2-2 5 3 4 0 2 11 8 -
Chris Paul * 37 6-11 1-2 4-6 4 16 0 0 1 17 25 -
Marco Belinelli * 35 6-15 1-5 5-5 6 2 0 0 1 18 10 -
David West * 26 9-14 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 0 0 22 15 -
Emeka Okafor * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 0 8 -
Jason Smith * 24 3-10 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 8 1 -
Willie Green * 12 1-4 0-1 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Marcus Thornton * 11 3-6 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
Jerryd Bayless * 8 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
Peja Stojakovic * 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
DJ Mbenga 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Pops Mensah-Bonsu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter