Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✗ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (104-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 30 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Al Horford * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 36 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 30 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Sam Young * | 26 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Henry * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Acie Law * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter