Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -10 (87-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 10-20 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| James Jones * | 29 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 21 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 19 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
* = starter