Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 10-21 | 3-6 | 8-12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 12 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Eddie House * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| James Jones * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 41 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 40 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 39 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 12 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 10 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
* = starter