Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +8 (103-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 42 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 8-20 | 4-8 | 10-10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 38 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| James Harden * | 23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Camby * | 36 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 32 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter