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2010-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Margin 34.6% 65.4% +3.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +22 (123-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo * 32 4-13 0-4 4-5 2 2 0 0 4 12 -1 -
Rudy Gay * 28 3-14 0-1 2-4 3 1 3 0 2 8 -1 -
Mike Conley * 27 8-13 2-4 4-5 1 3 0 0 2 22 11 -
Zach Randolph * 26 4-13 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
Darrell Arthur * 23 4-13 0-0 1-2 10 0 2 2 0 9 10 -
Sam Young * 22 5-12 0-1 8-9 2 1 0 2 2 18 9 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 21 2-2 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 4 0 7 15 -
Marcus Williams * 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 0 7 -
DeMarre Carroll * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
Hamed Haddadi 18 5-7 0-0 1-3 8 2 0 0 1 11 13 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JR Smith * 33 9-20 6-15 2-3 3 3 1 0 2 26 11 -
Carmelo Anthony * 31 6-14 1-4 8-9 4 1 0 0 2 21 10 -
Arron Afflalo * 31 7-13 2-6 6-6 13 1 0 0 0 22 23 -
Nene Hilario * 28 4-6 0-0 12-14 6 2 0 1 0 20 23 -
Chauncey Billups * 27 3-11 1-5 4-5 4 7 3 1 3 11 12 -
Kenyon Martin * 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 4 1 0 8 12 -
Ty Lawson * 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 5 8 -
Chris Andersen * 19 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 4 0 4 10 -
Johan Petro * 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 3 1 4 7 -
Renaldo Balkman 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter