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2010-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.2 (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -16 (88-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joakim Noah * 38 7-10 0-0 4-6 19 7 0 1 1 18 34 -
Derrick Rose * 37 12-23 0-3 2-2 4 7 1 1 1 26 15 -
Kirk Hinrich * 35 2-9 2-4 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 6 5 -
Luol Deng * 28 5-10 1-3 3-4 7 3 0 0 1 14 13 -
Taj Gibson * 27 5-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 2 11 10 -
Flip Murray * 25 4-9 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 10 8 -
Jannero Pargo * 20 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 4 1 -
Hakim Warrick * 16 3-6 0-0 4-6 2 0 0 1 1 10 6 -
Brad Miller * 7 2-3 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
Chris Richard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 39 7-16 1-3 3-4 5 1 0 2 1 18 9 -
Sonny Weems * 37 9-22 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 18 6 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 31 2-12 1-5 1-4 19 9 3 0 1 6 24 -
Jarrett Jack * 25 5-10 1-4 3-3 2 3 0 0 1 14 8 -
Amir Johnson * 24 5-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 10 4 -
Jose Calderon * 24 2-6 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 7 5 -
Marco Belinelli * 22 0-6 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
DeMar DeRozan * 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Reggie Evans 9 3-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
Marcus Banks 6 4-4 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
Patrick O'Bryant 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Rasho Nesterovic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter