Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✗ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -19 (85-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Malik Hairston | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 37 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 10-11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 34 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| JR Smith * | 25 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ty Lawson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Renaldo Balkman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter