Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +4 (99-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 39 | 7-20 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 22 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| DaJuan Summers * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Augustin * | 40 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 25 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter