Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (99-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 42 | 12-19 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 36 | 12-21 | 7-11 | 8-8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 22 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 19 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DaJuan Summers | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 25 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter