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2010-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (23.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +26 (110-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 44 9-16 1-2 4-6 2 0 0 0 2 23 7 -
Mike Conley * 37 7-18 0-4 3-4 1 7 2 0 2 17 7 -
Zach Randolph * 36 6-14 0-1 5-8 13 3 0 0 2 17 17 -
O.J. Mayo * 32 5-8 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 11 4 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 30 4-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 9 14 -
Darrell Arthur * 14 1-2 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Sam Young * 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 0 -6 -
Marcus Williams * 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 -
DeMarre Carroll 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Hamed Haddadi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 34 9-14 1-1 3-3 9 0 1 1 1 22 18 -
Caron Butler * 32 10-17 0-1 3-4 6 2 2 1 1 23 16 -
Jason Terry * 30 6-13 2-5 2-2 1 5 1 0 2 16 8 -
Jason Kidd * 30 4-9 4-5 0-0 4 10 1 0 1 12 17 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 26 0-4 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 2 2 -
Brendan Haywood * 23 4-5 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 0 11 14 -
Eduardo Najera * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 4 3 -
J.J. Barea * 17 4-6 1-2 5-6 1 6 4 0 2 14 17 -
Erick Dampier * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 2 5 -
Matt Carroll 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Rodrigue Beaubois 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter