Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (99-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Willie Green * | 11 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 6-11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 26 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
* = starter