Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -9 (96-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 14-22 | 2-3 | 13-17 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 37 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 39 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 29 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 47 | 6-22 | 1-8 | 12-14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 46 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 46 | 12-17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 29 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 40 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| AJ Price * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter