Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (82-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 42 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 18 | 7-8 | 6-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marcin Gortat | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 17 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter