Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -17 (81-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 39 | 11-22 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 34 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 27 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 23 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 21 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bynum * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 32 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| DaJuan Summers * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 23 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter