Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (109-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 3-16 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| JR Smith * | 33 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 32 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 7-17 | 4-5 | 16-17 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 36 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 24 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter