Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (97-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 39 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 11-18 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 29 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 37 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 18 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -9 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter