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2010-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 (26.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -21 (90-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shawn Marion * 31 9-12 0-0 0-0 4 1 5 0 2 18 14 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 29 6-14 1-2 0-1 10 3 2 1 1 13 14 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 29 15-22 9-11 1-1 8 3 0 3 1 40 31 -
Jason Kidd * 29 0-5 0-3 0-0 6 11 2 0 2 0 12 -
Eduardo Najera * 28 3-6 3-6 0-0 9 1 2 1 2 9 14 -
Jason Terry * 23 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 6 2 0 0 9 11 -
Caron Butler * 22 5-11 1-1 3-4 5 2 0 0 0 14 10 -
J.J. Barea * 20 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 4 5 4 -
Brendan Haywood * 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 1 2 -
DeShawn Stevenson 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
Matt Carroll 7 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 6-16 3-5 2-2 7 6 2 0 7 17 9 -
Reggie Williams * 33 3-15 0-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 6 -6 -
Anthony Tolliver * 28 3-9 2-3 2-2 21 2 1 0 2 10 23 -
C.J. Watson * 28 3-13 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 7 -1 -
Corey Maggette * 26 7-15 0-0 7-7 5 1 0 0 1 21 11 -
Monta Ellis * 26 6-16 1-4 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 14 4 -
Anthony Morrow * 20 4-10 1-4 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 11 9 -
Ronny Turiaf * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 0 8 -
Devean George * 13 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
Chris Hunter 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter