Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -13 (74-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Arroyo * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 37 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| John Salmons * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 14 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 14 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Primoz Brezec | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter