Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (29.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -29 (74-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Arroyo * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 20 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| James Jones | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 32 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Chris Richard * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 19 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| James Johnson * | 19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 16 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Acie Law | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Joakim Noah | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Joe Alexander | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter