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2010-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% -
Margin 51.1% 48.9% -0.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +16 (115-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shawn Marion * 35 6-12 0-1 2-5 8 4 1 2 3 14 14 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 34 8-12 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 16 7 -
Jason Kidd * 32 2-8 2-4 0-0 4 6 1 0 3 6 6 -
Caron Butler * 32 5-13 0-1 2-4 6 3 0 1 1 12 8 -
Jason Terry * 28 9-16 5-8 1-1 2 4 0 0 2 24 12 -
Brendan Haywood * 25 5-8 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 2 10 11 -
Eduardo Najera * 17 3-4 0-1 0-1 0 1 2 0 0 6 5 -
Erick Dampier * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J.J. Barea * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Rodrigue Beaubois 7 3-4 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
DeShawn Stevenson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Carroll 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David West * 39 10-17 0-0 5-5 6 10 2 0 1 25 25 -
Marcus Thornton * 37 12-22 4-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 28 12 -
Morris Peterson * 35 8-11 4-7 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 20 17 -
Darren Collison * 34 6-15 1-2 3-4 4 8 2 0 3 16 12 -
Darius Songaila * 22 4-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 8 12 -
Chris Paul * 20 4-9 3-5 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 11 4 -
Emeka Okafor * 20 0-2 0-0 1-4 6 1 0 2 3 1 5 -
James Posey * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 0 7 -
Aaron Gray * 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Julian Wright 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter