Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +10 (98-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 46 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 40 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 34 | 3-17 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 12 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 46 | 12-22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| James Johnson * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joakim Noah | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter