Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.5% | 19.5% | -7.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -10 (89-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Arroyo * | 42 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 34 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 34 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 31 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Harris * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Josh Boone * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter