Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +25 (104-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Maxiell * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 18 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| DaJuan Summers * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 18 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Austin Daye | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| LeBron James * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Delonte West * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Leon Powe * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 18 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jawad Williams * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gibson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamario Moon | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter