Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (119-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 44 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 44 | 12-26 | 5-11 | 9-10 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 16 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 41 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 26 | - |
| George Hill * | 40 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malik Hairston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 46 | 8-23 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 44 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Al Horford * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 35 | 7-18 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter